Trend Data Population Welcoming thousands of new residents over the last three decades, Peoria has become one of the fastest growing areas in the nation. The 2000 Census identified the City of Peoria as the fifth fastest growing city in the country with a population over 100,000. Since 1980, Peoria’s population has grown from 12,000 to over 153,900 and the city continues to grow at a fast pace with master-planned communities, commercial/retail development, and employment centers. Peoria Growth Year Annexed Area / Sq. Mi. Estimated Population Projected Population + Growth Estimated Dwelling Units 1954 # 1.0 1965 2.4 1975 7.6 1980 26.5 12,351 1985 31.5 27,568 1990 63.5 50,618 1995 99.0 74,565 2000 144.0 108,364 2005 177.9 138,143 2006 177.9 147,711 2007 177.9 153,982 2008 160,252 4.1% 63,358 2009 166,523 3.9% 65,969 2010 172,793 3.8% 71,391 2011 179,129 3.7% 74,202 2012 185,465 3.5% 74,202 2015* 204,474 *10.2% 82,636 2020* 236,154 *15.5% 96,691 2025* 271,112 *14.8% 112,728 2030* 306,070 *12.9% 128,765 # Original jurisdictional area at time of incorporation in 1954. + Projected population is based on Maricopa Association of Governments 2007 "Socioeconomic Projections of Population, Housing and Employment by Municipal Planning Area and Regional Analysis Zone" report, published in May of 2007 * Growth is based on the previous years number. For example, year 2015 notes the growth rate from year 2012 (3 total years). POPULATION PROJECTIONS Calculating Projections Population information is generated in various ways. The U.S. Decennial Census represents a full count of the U.S. population and is considered to be the most reliable source of population information. The Census data serves as the base data for generating all other population information. The MAG region, like some other areas of the country, conducts a Mid-Decennial Census under the auspices of the U.S. Census Bureau using random sampling in the five-year interims between the decennial censuses. This data is utilized as a control to make any neededadjustments in the modeling process to achieve greater accuracy. MAG Projections MAG generates annual updates of population information based on actual numbers such asschool enrollments and building permits, using a statistical modeling process that builds ondecennial and mid-decennial census data. MAG data provides a means to compare the various jurisdictions throughout the MAG region, better known as the Phoenix metropolitan area. The City of Peoria uses the projected growth rates in order to forecast future needs and plan capital projects. The City grew at an average annual rate of 5.1% from 2000 to 2005 and anticipates continuing to grow at a rate of approximately 4.2% through the year 2010.Beginning in 2010, the City anticipates that the growth rate will decline to approximately 3.4%until 2022 and taper off to approximately 2.5% through 2030. Mid-Decennial Census The 2005 Mid-Decennial Census was conducted by MAG in conjunction with the U.S. Census Bureau in September - December 2005. The updated Census information became available in June 2006 and is reflected in the Peoria Growth table located on the preceding page. An updated demographic profile is available from the City (www.peoriaaz.com) and/or MAG (shownbelow) websites as well as from the Peoria Economic Development Department. Interpreting MAG Data While MAG data is used for many purposes, MAG’s key purpose in compiling population and related data is to plan transportation infrastructure and address issues of air quality control. MAG modeling is thus geared to these ends. Member agencies submit “Residential Completion” data to MAG on a quarterly basis and MAG incorporates this along with census data and other information into its modeling process to provide annual population updates. Using this data, MAG also develops population projections. MAG Population Projections for Peoria 2005 2010 2020 2025 2030 Population 141,411 172,793 236,154 271,112 306,070 As of May 2007 – latest available data PROJECTED POPULATION TREND More detailed MAG data may be found at the MAG website at http://www.mag.maricopa.gov or by contacting MAG at 602-254-6300. Growth Trends City of Peoria, Arizona Current Inventory The following inventory provides an overview of basic City facilities and services. Recreation # Miles of Stre Maintained by ets City Streetlights # Parks 26 Arterial 76 As of Sept 2006 12,757 Community Park 1 Collector 66 Park Acreage 264 Local 385 Playgrounds & Picnic Areas 33 Unpaved 10 Ramadas 87 Tennis Courts 25 Basketball Hoops 82 Hand/Racquetball 2 Ball Fields 30 Swimming Pools 3 Volleyball Courts 12 Sports Complex 1 Skateboard Park 1 Fire Protection Police Protection Stations 7 Vehicle Patrol Units 101 Employees 157 Employees 274 Response Time (average) 4 : 40 Calls for Service (FY07) 103,921 EMS Incidents (year) 11,030 Priority 1 Response Time (FY07) 5.2 minutes Fire Calls (year) 1,157 Misc. Calls (year) 601 Data from preliminary 2007 City of Peoria Comprehensive Annual Financial Report Peoria Unified S chool District* Deer Valley Unified School District ** School Type # Schools # Students # Schools # Students Elementary K - 6 Elementary K - 8 20 19,470 2 1,964 Middle 7 - 8 High 9 - 12 5 6,750 Total 25 26,220 1,964 * Only included schools within Peoria city limits** Only small portion of DVUSD lies within Peoria. As of November 2007 Peoria’s Top 10 Employers Business Name Product/Service Approx. # Employees Peoria Unified School District Education 4,380 Bell Road Auto Dealerships Automotive Sales **1,828 City of Peoria Government 1,537 Plaza del Rio Campus Health Care 545 Target Stores (3 Locations) Retail *541 Fry’s Stores (3 Locations) Grocery/Retail *487 Northern Pipeline Construction 415 Safeway Stores (4 Locations) Grocery/Retail *310 Antigua Manufacturing/Retail 304 Home Depot Stores (2 Locations) Retail *275 *Combined Store Total **Combined Business Total Source: City of Peoria Economic Development Department Growth Trends City of Peoria, Arizona Current Conditions Land Use The City of Peoria may be characterized as a second tier suburb of Phoenix. Housing densities and intensity of uses are comparatively low. Residential zoning districts range from low density designations such as SR-43, one dwelling unit per acre, to higher densitysingle family attached districts providingfor 6 – 8 dwelling units per acre. Scattered apartment developments of approximately 22 dwelling units per acre located near commercial development provide for affordable housing in the urbanized area.Additional affordable housing may be found in several manufactured home parks located mostly south of Bell Road. The housing districts are supported by well-developed shopping areas,entertainment districts, public parks and schools. Approximately 20% of all land south of Bell Road is vacant. City of Peoria services are provided for the population according to levels of service (LOS) in accordance with the following average housing occupancies: Persons Per Household Single Family Attached/Detached 2.72 Multi-Family 1.87 All Other 1.87 Source: MAG “Socioeconomic Projections of Population, Housing and Employment by Municipal Planning Area and Regional Analysis Zone,” report, May 2007 Growth Trends City of Peoria, Arizona Projected Residential Permit Activity Expected Housing Permits Fund FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 198 200 365 511 558 692 671 575 416 368 343 128 339 210 295 479 510 554 625 783 924 577 351 234 697 270 295 297 563 804 1,084 1,142 1,260 1,636 1,356 1,509 1,235 680 955 1,286 1,630 2,050 2,380 2,500 2,600 2,580 2,050 1,870 Expected Housing Permits N Park Zone 1 Dev. Fees - S. of Pinnacle Peak 7901 N Park Zone 1 Dev. Fees - S. of Pinnacle Peak N Park Zone 4 Dev Fees - N. Pinnacle Peak 7904 N Park Zone 4 Dev Fees - N. Pinnacle Peak N Park Zone 5 Dev Fees - (Also used this for West of Agua Fria) 7905 N Park Zone 5 Dev Fees - (We also used this for West of Aqua Fria) TOTAL (also Citywide Park/Rec, Opn Sp., R&Trls, 458 679 98 FY07 350 350 170 FY08 485 265 150 FY09 861 275 150 FY10 950 540 140 FY11 1,100 780 170 FY12 1,176 1,059 145 FY13 1,265 1,179 56 FY14 1,235 1,325 40 FY15 826 1,714 40 FY16 FY17 1,475 35 540 FY18 35 155 1,680 1,235 870 900 1,286 1,630 2,050 2,380 2,500 2,600 2,580 2,050 1,870 Library, Water and Water Resources) Streets and Intersections Development Fees Street Fund Intersection fund Streets and Intersections Development Fees Zone 1 Dev Fee (South) S. of Bell 7001 7004 Zone 1 Dev Fee (South) S. of Bell Zone 2 Dev Fee (Central) Bell to Dynamite 7002 7005 Zone 2 Dev Fee (Central) Bell to Dynamite Zone 3 Dev Fee (North) Dynamite N. and W. of Agua Fria 7002 7005 Zone 3 Dev Fee (North) Dynamite North and West of Aqua Fria 98827100251502015030140251702014516561340040 035 035 0 323 64 230 25 540 27 861 60 950 65 1,100 70 1,176 75 1,265 80 1,235 85 826 85 540 85 155 85 814 0 350 0 265 0 275 0 540 0 780 0 1,059 609 1,179 0 1,325 20 1,714 20 1,475 20 1,680 20 1,235 891 680 50 955 47 1,286 90 1,630 90 2,050 90 2,380 700 2,500 93 2,600 105 2,580 105 2,050 105 1,870 105 Version - 1/18/08 Trend Data